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Stale· updated 2m ago

ITF M15 Huamantla 4 Men: Andres Urrea vs Wilhelm Saiga

Other · July 27, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Andres Urrea

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.48	67.5%	$0.68	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.28	78.0%	$0.78	+10.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.68

Odds

1.48

Implied

67.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.78

Odds

1.28

Implied

78.0%

Edge

+10.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Andres Urrea

Best: 78.0% on kalshi

▲+10.5%

Prediction market is 10.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

67.5%

78.0%

Wilhelm Saiga

Best: 32.5% on polymarket

▲+9.5%

Prediction market is 9.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

32.5%

23.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Andres Urrea

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.675

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.830 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.830

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.900 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.900

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+10.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Andres Urrea (polymarket, $746) — not enough depth at $746 — fillable up to $110

Wilhelm Saiga (kalshi, $254) — slippage 58.7% > 10% cap — fillable up to $7

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Andres Urreathin	polymarket	1.48	$746	$1105
Wilhelm Saigathin	kalshi	4.35	$254	$1105

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Andres Urrea

Spread

10.5pp

kalshi at 78.0% vs polymarket at 67.5%

Expected Value

+15.56%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.48) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

25.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $20
24h Volume: $20
Liquidity: $83
Open Interest: $20

Resolves: in 6d 23h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $470
24h Volume: $323
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $443

Resolves: in 13d 22h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 23h · Aug 3, 2026, 5:30 PM
kalshiin 13d 22h · Aug 10, 2026, 4:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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