TennisLIVE

Live· updated 43s ago

ITF M15 Bali 2 Men: Ryotaro Taguchi vs Daisuke Sumizawa

Other · July 27, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Ryotaro Taguchi

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.22	82.0%	$0.82	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.21	82.5%	$0.83	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.82

Odds

1.22

Implied

82.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.83

Odds

1.21

Implied

82.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Ryotaro Taguchi

Best: 82.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

82.0%

82.5%

Daisuke Sumizawa

Best: 21.0% on kalshi

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

21.0%

17.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Ryotaro Taguchi

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.820

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.836 avg

+1.03% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.828

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.845

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.843 avg

+0.04% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.843

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Daisuke Sumizawa (polymarket, $176) — slippage 32.5% > 10% cap — fillable up to $7

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Ryotaro Taguchithin	kalshi	1.22	$824	$1005
Daisuke Sumizawathin	polymarket	5.71	$176	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Ryotaro Taguchi

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 82.5% vs kalshi at 82.0%

Expected Value

+0.61%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.22) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $129
24h Volume: $129
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $118

Resolves: in 14d 7h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $6
24h Volume: $6
Liquidity: $4.8K
Open Interest: $6

Resolves: in 7d 7h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 7h · Aug 4, 2026, 1:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Aug 11, 2026, 1:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

Related Events

Tennis

▲+21.0%

ITF M15 Astana Men: Muzammil Murtaza vs Sergey Petrov

Vol: $0

Tennis

▲+11.5%

ITF W15 Huamantla 3 Women: Zyanya Saavedra Carrera vs Jayna Clemens

Vol: $3K

Tennis

▲+11.5%

ITF W15 Astana 3 Women: Anna Sedysheva vs Daria Zelinskaya

Vol: $10.47

Tennis

▲+10.5%

ITF M15 Huamantla 4 Men: Andres Urrea vs Wilhelm Saiga

18+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-522-4700. OddsBridge does not accept bets -- we provide odds comparison and informational content only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Odds and prices shown may not reflect the most current values. Always verify prices on the platform before placing a bet or trade.