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ITF M15 Bali 2 Men: Yusuke Takahashi vs Nathan Anthony Barki

Other · July 27, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Yusuke Takahashi

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.57	63.5%	$0.64	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.47	68.0%	$0.68	+4.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.64

Odds

1.57

Implied

63.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.68

Odds

1.47

Implied

68.0%

Edge

+4.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Yusuke Takahashi

Best: 68.0% on polymarket

▲+4.5%

Prediction market is 4.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

63.5%

68.0%

Nathan Anthony Barki

Best: 32.0% on polymarket

▲+4.5%

Prediction market is 4.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

27.5%

32.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Yusuke Takahashi

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.635

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.763 avg

+0.36% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.760

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.777

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.794 avg

+2.19% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.777

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+9.89%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Nathan Anthony Barki (kalshi, $302) — slippage 16.3% > 10% cap — fillable up to $26

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Yusuke Takahashithin	kalshi	1.57	$698	$1099
Nathan Anthony Barkithin	kalshi	3.64	$302	$1099

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Yusuke Takahashi

Spread

4.5pp

polymarket at 68.0% vs kalshi at 63.5%

Expected Value

+7.09%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.57) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

12.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 7h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $1000
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 7h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 7h · Aug 4, 2026, 1:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Aug 11, 2026, 1:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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