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Stale· updated 2m ago

ITF M15 Bali 2 Men: Yuta Kawahashi vs Sam Ryan Ziegann

Other · July 27, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Yuta Kawahashi

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.59	63.0%	$0.63	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.54	65.0%	$0.65	+2.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.63

Odds

1.59

Implied

63.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.65

Odds

1.54

Implied

65.0%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Yuta Kawahashi

Best: 65.0% on kalshi

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

65.0%

63.0%

Sam Ryan Ziegann

Best: 37.0% on polymarket

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

35.0%

37.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Yuta Kawahashi

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.630

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.677 avg

+1.95% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.664

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.690

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.713 avg

+3.34% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.690

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $125

Yuta Kawahashi (polymarket, $643) — slippage 2.5% — eats into edge

Sam Ryan Ziegann (kalshi, $357) — slippage 12.1% > 10% cap — fillable up to $45

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Yuta Kawahashithin	polymarket	1.59	$643	$1020
Sam Ryan Ziegannthin	kalshi	2.86	$357	$1020

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Yuta Kawahashi

Spread

2.0pp

kalshi at 65.0% vs polymarket at 63.0%

Expected Value

+3.17%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.59) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

5.4%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $439
24h Volume: $439
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $439

Resolves: in 14d 7h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $4.4K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 7h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 7h · Aug 4, 2026, 1:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Aug 11, 2026, 1:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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