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ITF M15 Huamantla 4 Men: Roberto Herman vs Jesse Ruder-Hook

Other · July 27, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Roberto Herman

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	20.00	5.0%	$0.05	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	10.53	9.5%	$0.10	+4.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.05

Odds

20.00

Implied

5.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.10

Odds

10.53

Implied

9.5%

Edge

+4.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Roberto Herman

Best: 9.5% on polymarket

▲+4.5%

Prediction market is 4.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

9.5%

5.0%

Jesse Ruder-Hook

Best: 95.0% on kalshi

▲+4.5%

Prediction market is 4.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

90.5%

95.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Roberto Herman

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.050

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.120 avg

+51.78% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.079

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.325

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.210 avg

+2.23% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.206

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+4.71%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $583

Roberto Herman (kalshi, $52) — slippage 11.5% > 10% cap — fillable up to $485

Jesse Ruder-Hook (polymarket, $948) — not enough depth at $948 — fillable up to $552

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Roberto Hermanthin	kalshi	20.00	$52	$1048
Jesse Ruder-Hook	polymarket	1.10	$948	$1047

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Roberto Herman

Spread

4.5pp

polymarket at 9.5% vs kalshi at 5.0%

Expected Value

+90.00%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (20.00) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

4.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $1.2K
24h Volume: $1.2K
Liquidity: $3.0K
Open Interest: $708

Resolves: in 6d 21h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $81.9K
24h Volume: $63.8K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $45.2K

Resolves: in 13d 21h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 21h · Aug 3, 2026, 3:30 PM
kalshiin 13d 21h · Aug 10, 2026, 3:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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