TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 18s ago

ITF M15 Xativa Men: Esteban Talavera Cortes vs Amaan Siddiqui

Other · July 28, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Esteban Talavera Cortes

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.33	43.0%	$0.43	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.85	54.0%	$0.54	+11.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.43

Odds

2.33

Implied

43.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.54

Odds

1.85

Implied

54.0%

Edge

+11.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Esteban Talavera Cortes

Best: 54.0% on kalshi

▲+11.0%

Prediction market is 11.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

43.0%

54.0%

Amaan Siddiqui

Best: 57.0% on polymarket

▲+29.5%

Prediction market is 29.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

57.0%

27.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Esteban Talavera Cortes

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.430

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.809 avg

+2.27% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.791

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.899

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.870 avg

+0.13% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.869

Arbitrage Opportunity

+41.84%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Esteban Talavera Cortes (polymarket, $610) — slippage 26.6% > 10% cap — fillable up to $74

Amaan Siddiqui (kalshi, $390) — slippage 70.4% > 10% cap — fillable up to $1

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Esteban Talavera Cortesthin	polymarket	2.33	$610	$1419
Amaan Siddiquithin	kalshi	3.64	$390	$1418

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Esteban Talavera Cortes

Spread

11.0pp

kalshi at 54.0% vs polymarket at 43.0%

Expected Value

+25.58%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.33) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

19.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $140
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 8h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 8h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 8h · Aug 4, 2026, 7:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 8h · Aug 11, 2026, 7:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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