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Stale· updated 2m ago

ITF Santa Fe: Kate Fakih vs Tatum Evans

Other · July 23, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Kate Fakih

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	3.17	31.5%	$0.32	---	Bet Here
KalshiBest	3.13	32.0%	$0.32	+0.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.32

Odds

3.17

Implied

31.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.32

Odds

3.13

Implied

32.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Kate Fakih

Best: 32.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

31.5%

32.0%

Tatum Evans

Best: 68.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

68.5%

67.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Kate Fakih

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.315

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.490 avg

+11.01% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.441

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.539

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.701 avg

+30.25% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.539

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Kate Fakih (polymarket, $320) — slippage 6.6% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Kate Fakihthin	polymarket	3.17	$320	$1015
Tatum Evansthin	kalshi	1.49	$680	$1016

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Kate Fakih

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 32.0% vs polymarket at 31.5%

Expected Value

+1.59%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (3.17) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $187
24h Volume: $187
Liquidity: $6.5K
Open Interest: $212

Resolves: in 7d 4h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $943
24h Volume: $943
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $943

Resolves: in 14d 4h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 4h · Jul 30, 2026, 5:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 4h · Aug 6, 2026, 5:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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