TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 2m ago

ITF Sao Paulo: Juan Estevez vs Lucas Andrade Da Silva

Other · July 24, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Juan Estevez

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.04	49.0%	$0.49	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.94	51.5%	$0.52	+2.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.49

Odds

2.04

Implied

49.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.52

Odds

1.94

Implied

51.5%

Edge

+2.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Juan Estevez

Best: 51.5% on polymarket

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

51.5%

49.0%

Lucas Andrade Da Silva

Best: 48.5% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

48.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Juan Estevez

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.490

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.612 avg

+3.63% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.591

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.719

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.731 avg

+1.68% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.719

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.56%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Juan Estevez (kalshi, $503) — slippage 8.2% — eats into edge

Lucas Andrade Da Silva (polymarket, $497) — slippage 28.0% > 10% cap — fillable up to $30

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Juan Estevezthin	kalshi	2.04	$503	$1026
Lucas Andrade Da Silvathin	polymarket	2.06	$497	$1026

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Juan Estevez

Spread

2.5pp

polymarket at 51.5% vs kalshi at 49.0%

Expected Value

+5.10%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.04) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

4.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $15
24h Volume: $15
Liquidity: $684
Open Interest: $15

Resolves: in 7d 3h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $738
24h Volume: $738
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $738

Resolves: in 14d 3h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 3h · Jul 31, 2026, 2:30 PM
kalshiin 14d 3h · Aug 7, 2026, 2:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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