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Stale· updated 4m ago

ITF W100 Landisville, PA Women: Ema Burgic vs Maria Kozyreva

Other · August 3, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Ema Burgic

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	4.26	23.5%	$0.24	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	3.39	29.5%	$0.30	+6.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.24

Odds

4.26

Implied

23.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.30

Odds

3.39

Implied

29.5%

Edge

+6.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Ema Burgic

Best: 29.5% on polymarket

▲+6.0%

Prediction market is 6.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

29.5%

23.5%

Mariia Kozyreva

Best: 72.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

70.5%

72.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Ema Burgic

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.235

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.494 avg

+1.46% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.487

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.529

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.742 avg

+40.24% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.529

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+6.38%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Ema Burgic (kalshi, $250) — slippage 19.8% > 10% cap — fillable up to $11

Mariia Kozyreva (polymarket, $750) — slippage 21.2% > 10% cap — fillable up to $4

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Ema Burgicthin	kalshi	4.25	$250	$1064
Mariia Kozyrevathin	polymarket	1.42	$750	$1064

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Ema Burgic

Spread

6.0pp

polymarket at 29.5% vs kalshi at 23.5%

Expected Value

+25.53%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (4.26) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

7.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $5
24h Volume: $5
Liquidity: $1.1K
Open Interest: $5

Resolves: in 7d 5h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $17
24h Volume: $17
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $17

Resolves: in 14d 3h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 5h · Aug 10, 2026, 6:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 3h · Aug 17, 2026, 4:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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