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Stale· updated 3m ago

ITF W100 Landisville, PA Women: Hana Evans vs Reina Goto

Other · August 3, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Hana Evans

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	6.25	16.0%	$0.16	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	5.71	17.5%	$0.18	+1.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.16

Odds

6.25

Implied

16.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.18

Odds

5.71

Implied

17.5%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Hana Evans

Best: 17.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

17.5%

16.0%

Reina Goto

Best: 85.0% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

82.5%

85.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Hana Evans

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.160

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.523 avg

+3.69% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.504

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.616

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.811 avg

+31.67% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.616

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Hana Evans (kalshi, $162) — slippage 16.7% > 10% cap — fillable up to $14

Reina Goto (polymarket, $838) — slippage 5.5% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Hana Evansthin	kalshi	6.25	$162	$1015
Reina Gotothin	polymarket	1.21	$838	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Hana Evans

Spread

1.5pp

polymarket at 17.5% vs kalshi at 16.0%

Expected Value

+9.38%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (6.25) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $542
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 2h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $4.1K
24h Volume: $4.1K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $4.1K

Resolves: in 14d 1h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 2h · Aug 10, 2026, 4:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 1h · Aug 17, 2026, 3:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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