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Stale· updated 4m ago

ITF W15 Huamantla 3 Women: Nadia Elle Valdez vs Maribel Aguilar Gasperin

Other · July 27, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Nadia Elle Valdez

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.09	92.0%	$0.92	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.08	92.5%	$0.93	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.92

Odds

1.09

Implied

92.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.93

Odds

1.08

Implied

92.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Nadia Elle Valdez

Best: 92.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

92.5%

92.0%

Maribel Aguilar Gasperin

Best: 9.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

7.5%

9.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Nadia Elle Valdez

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.920

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.928 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.928

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.936 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.936

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Maribel Aguilar Gasperin (polymarket, $75) — not enough depth at $75 — fillable up to $1

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Nadia Elle Valdezthin	kalshi	1.09	$925	$1005
Maribel Aguilar Gasperinthin	polymarket	13.33	$75	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Nadia Elle Valdez

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 92.5% vs kalshi at 92.0%

Expected Value

+0.54%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.09) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

6.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $50
24h Volume: $50
Liquidity: $487
Open Interest: $50

Resolves: in 7d 0h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $488
24h Volume: $411
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $488

Resolves: in 13d 23h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 0h · Aug 3, 2026, 6:00 PM
kalshiin 13d 23h · Aug 10, 2026, 5:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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