TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 45s ago

ITF Xativa: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Ignacio Parisca

Other · July 30, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Luka Talan Lopatic

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	3.33	30.0%	$0.30	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	3.23	31.0%	$0.31	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.30

Odds

3.33

Implied

30.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.31

Odds

3.23

Implied

31.0%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Luka Talan Lopatic

Best: 31.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

31.0%

30.0%

Ignacio Parisca

Best: 72.0% on kalshi

▲+3.0%

Prediction market is 3.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

69.0%

72.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Luka Talan Lopatic

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.300

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.447 avg

+32.44% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.338

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.469

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.769 avg

+127.78% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.338

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Luka Talan Lopatic (kalshi, $303) — slippage 8.6% — eats into edge

Ignacio Parisca (polymarket, $697) — slippage 4.9% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Luka Talan Lopaticthin	kalshi	3.33	$303	$1010
Ignacio Pariscathin	polymarket	1.45	$697	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Luka Talan Lopatic

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 31.0% vs kalshi at 30.0%

Expected Value

+3.33%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (3.33) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.4%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $77
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 10h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 10h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 10h · Aug 6, 2026, 3:30 PM
kalshiin 14d 10h · Aug 13, 2026, 3:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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