TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Xativa: Pavel Lagutin vs Anas Mazdrashki

Other · July 30, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Pavel Lagutin

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.41	71.0%	$0.71	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.28	78.0%	$0.78	+7.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.71

Odds

1.41

Implied

71.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.78

Odds

1.28

Implied

78.0%

Edge

+7.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Pavel Lagutin

Best: 78.0% on polymarket

▲+7.0%

Prediction market is 7.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

78.0%

71.0%

Anas Mazdrashki

Best: 28.0% on kalshi

▲+6.0%

Prediction market is 6.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

22.0%

28.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Pavel Lagutin

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.710

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.751 avg

+2.82% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.730

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.771

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.758 avg

+0.36% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.755

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+7.53%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Anas Mazdrashki (polymarket, $237) — slippage 13.5% > 10% cap — fillable up to $3

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Pavel Lagutinthin	kalshi	1.41	$763	$1075
Anas Mazdrashkithin	polymarket	4.54	$237	$1075

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Pavel Lagutin

Spread

7.0pp

polymarket at 78.0% vs kalshi at 71.0%

Expected Value

+9.86%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.41) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

24.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $77
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 10h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 10h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 10h · Aug 6, 2026, 3:30 PM
kalshiin 14d 10h · Aug 13, 2026, 3:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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