BaseballLIVE

Stale· updated 4m ago

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees - First 5 Innings Winner

MLB · July 16, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Los Angeles Dodgers

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.70	37.0%	$0.37	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.89	53.0%	$0.53	+16.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.37

Odds

2.70

Implied

37.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.53

Odds

1.89

Implied

53.0%

Edge

+16.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Los Angeles Dodgers

Best: 53.0% on kalshi

▲+16.0%

Prediction market is 16.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

37.0%

53.0%

New York Yankees

Best: 49.0% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

46.5%

49.0%

Draw

Best: 37.0% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

37.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Los Angeles Dodgers

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.370

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.603 avg

+13.74% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.530

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.967

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.547 avg

+3.17% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.530

Cross-Platform Edge — Los Angeles Dodgers

Spread

16.0pp

kalshi at 53.0% vs polymarket at 37.0%

Expected Value

+43.24%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.70) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

25.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $1.3K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 1d 2h

Source: https://www.mlb.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $121.2K
24h Volume: $90.3K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $99.0K

Resolves: in 4d 2h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 1d 2h · Jul 17, 2026, 11:05 PM
kalshiin 4d 2h · Jul 20, 2026, 11:05 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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