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Live· updated 34s ago

Metro Bank One Day Cup: Hampshire vs Middlesex

Metro Bank One Day Cup · July 24, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Hampshire

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.96	51.0%	$0.51	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.67	60.0%	$0.60	+9.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.51

Odds

1.96

Implied

51.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.60

Odds

1.67

Implied

60.0%

Edge

+9.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Hampshire

Best: 60.0% on kalshi

▲+9.0%

Prediction market is 9.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

51.0%

60.0%

Middlesex

Best: 49.0% on polymarket

▲+7.5%

Prediction market is 7.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

49.0%

41.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Hampshire

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.510

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.863 avg

+2.58% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.841

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.971

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.938 avg

+0.14% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.936

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+8.11%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Hampshire (polymarket, $551) — slippage 6.7% — eats into edge

Middlesex (kalshi, $449) — slippage 64.7% > 10% cap — fillable up to $38

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Hampshirethin	polymarket	1.96	$551	$1081
Middlesexthin	kalshi	2.41	$449	$1081

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Hampshire

Spread

9.0pp

kalshi at 60.0% vs polymarket at 51.0%

Expected Value

+17.65%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.96) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

18.4%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $10
24h Volume: $10
Liquidity: $156
Open Interest: $10

Resolves: in 8d 15h

Source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $5
24h Volume: $5
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $5

Resolves: in 3d 23h

Settlement Timeline

kalshiin 3d 23h · Jul 26, 2026, 6:00 PM
polymarketin 8d 15h · Jul 31, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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