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Live· updated 48s ago

Inter-Provincial One Day: Leinster Lightning vs North-West Warriors

Inter-Provincial One Day · July 23, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000000000000

Platform Prices — Leinster Lightning

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.80	55.5%	$0.56	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.54	65.0%	$0.65	+9.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.56

Odds

1.80

Implied

55.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.65

Odds

1.54

Implied

65.0%

Edge

+9.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Leinster Lightning

Best: 65.0% on kalshi

▲+9.5%

Prediction market is 9.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

55.5%

65.0%

North-West Warriors

Best: 44.5% on polymarket

▲+10.0%

Prediction market is 10.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

44.5%

34.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Leinster Lightning

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.555

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.841 avg

+3.86% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.810

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.872

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.905 avg

+11.75% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.810

Arbitrage Opportunity

+11.11%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Leinster Lightning (polymarket, $617) — slippage 4.7% — eats into edge

North-West Warriors (kalshi, $383) — slippage 70.1% > 10% cap — fillable up to $11

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Leinster Lightningthin	polymarket	1.80	$617	$1111
North-West Warriorsthin	kalshi	2.90	$383	$1111

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Leinster Lightning

Spread

9.5pp

kalshi at 65.0% vs polymarket at 55.5%

Expected Value

+17.12%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.80) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

21.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $2.1K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 14h

Source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $183
24h Volume: $182
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $106

Resolves: in 2d 22h

Settlement Timeline

kalshiin 2d 22h · Jul 25, 2026, 5:45 PM
polymarketin 7d 14h · Jul 30, 2026, 9:45 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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