MMAUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

UFC Fight Night: Leon Shahbazyan vs. Levan Chokheli (Welterweight, Prelims)

UFC · June 20, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.0000000000000

Platform Prices — Leon Shahbazyan

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	3.85	26.0%	$0.26	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	2.33	43.0%	$0.43	+17.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.26

Odds

3.85

Implied

26.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.43

Odds

2.33

Implied

43.0%

Edge

+17.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Leon Shahbazyan

Best: 43.0% on kalshi

▲+17.0%

Prediction market is 17.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

26.0%

43.0%

Levan Chokheli

Best: 74.0% on polymarket

▲+14.0%

Prediction market is 14.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

74.0%

60.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Leon Shahbazyan

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.260

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.881 avg

+2.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.863

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.967

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.891 avg

+0.34% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.888

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+16.28%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Leon Shahbazyan (polymarket, $302) — slippage 63.9% > 10% cap — fillable up to $17

Levan Chokheli (kalshi, $698) — slippage 16.2% > 10% cap — fillable up to $33

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Leon Shahbazyanthin	polymarket	3.85	$302	$1163
Levan Chokhelithin	kalshi	1.67	$698	$1163

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Leon Shahbazyan

Spread

17.0pp

kalshi at 43.0% vs polymarket at 26.0%

Expected Value

+65.38%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (3.85) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

23.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $25
24h Volume: $25
Liquidity: $525
Open Interest: $25

Resolves: in 6d 3h

Source: https://www.ufc.com/events

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $929
24h Volume: $850
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $753

Resolves: in 19d 20h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 3h · Jun 21, 2026, 3:59 AM
kalshiin 19d 20h · Jul 4, 2026, 9:20 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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