MMAUPCOMING

Live· updated 38s ago

UFC Fight Night: Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento (Welterweight, Prelims)

UFC · June 27, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Tahir Abdullayev

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.87	53.5%	$0.54	---	Bet Here
KalshiBest	1.85	54.0%	$0.54	+0.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.54

Odds

1.87

Implied

53.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.54

Odds

1.85

Implied

54.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Tahir Abdullayev

Best: 54.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

53.5%

54.0%

Jefferson Nascimento

Best: 46.5% on polymarket

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

46.5%

44.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Tahir Abdullayev

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.535

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.792 avg

+2.33% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.774

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.882

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.847 avg

+0.17% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.846

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.56%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Tahir Abdullayev (polymarket, $549) — slippage 57.6% > 10% cap — fillable up to $23

Jefferson Nascimento (kalshi, $451) — slippage 3.9% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Tahir Abdullayevthin	polymarket	1.87	$549	$1026
Jefferson Nascimentothin	kalshi	2.27	$451	$1026

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Tahir Abdullayev

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 54.0% vs polymarket at 53.5%

Expected Value

+0.93%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.87) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $563
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 4d 2h

Source: https://www.ufc.com/events

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $15.4K
24h Volume: $5.5K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $9.7K

Resolves: in 17d 11h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 4d 2h · Jun 28, 2026, 3:59 AM
kalshiin 17d 11h · Jul 11, 2026, 1:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

Related Events

MMA

▲+4.0%

UFC Fight Night: Julius Walker vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

Vol: $63K

MMA

▲+3.5%

UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)

Vol: $15K

MMA

▲+1.5%

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Vol: $4.7M

MMA

18+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-522-4700. OddsBridge does not accept bets -- we provide odds comparison and informational content only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Odds and prices shown may not reflect the most current values. Always verify prices on the platform before placing a bet or trade.