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Vancouver: J.J. Wolf vs Mark Lajal

Other · August 1, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Jeffrey John Wolf

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.30	43.5%	$0.44	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.13	47.0%	$0.47	+3.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.44

Odds

2.30

Implied

43.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.47

Odds

2.13

Implied

47.0%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Jeffrey John Wolf

Best: 47.0% on polymarket

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

43.5%

47.0%

Mark Lajal

Best: 55.5% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

55.5%

53.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Jeffrey John Wolf

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.435

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.474 avg

+3.22% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.460

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.489

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.592 avg

+24.79% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.475

Arbitrage Opportunity

+3.63%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $366

Mark Lajal (polymarket, $549) — slippage 2.2% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Jeffrey John Wolfthin	kalshi	2.30	$451	$1036
Mark Lajalthin	polymarket	1.89	$549	$1036

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Jeffrey John Wolf

Spread

3.5pp

polymarket at 47.0% vs kalshi at 43.5%

Expected Value

+8.05%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.30) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

6.2%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $13.2K
24h Volume: $11.0K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $13.2K

Resolves: in 14d 9h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $10
24h Volume: $10
Liquidity: $41.0K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 8d 7h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 8d 7h · Aug 9, 2026, 9:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 9h · Aug 15, 2026, 10:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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