TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 33s ago

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Kyrian Jacquet

Tennis · June 23, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Andrea Guerrieri

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.86	35.0%	$0.35	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.17	46.0%	$0.46	+11.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.35

Odds

2.86

Implied

35.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.46

Odds

2.17

Implied

46.0%

Edge

+11.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Andrea Guerrieri

Best: 46.0% on polymarket

▲+11.0%

Prediction market is 11.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

35.0%

46.0%

Kyrian Jacquet

Best: 63.5% on kalshi

▲+9.5%

Prediction market is 9.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

63.5%

54.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Andrea Guerrieri

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.350

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.646 avg

+42.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.455

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.837

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.749 avg

+2.41% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.732

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+12.36%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Kyrian Jacquet (polymarket, $607) — slippage 16.3% > 10% cap — fillable up to $30

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Andrea Guerrierithin	kalshi	2.86	$393	$1124
Kyrian Jacquetthin	polymarket	1.85	$607	$1124

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Andrea Guerrieri

Spread

11.0pp

polymarket at 46.0% vs kalshi at 35.0%

Expected Value

+31.43%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.86) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

16.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 15h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $1.0K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 8d 16h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 8d 16h · Jul 1, 2026, 10:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 15h · Jul 7, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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