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Metro Bank One Day Cup: Nottinghamshire vs Warwickshire

Metro Bank One Day Cup · July 23, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Nottinghamshire

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.90	52.5%	$0.53	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.71	58.5%	$0.59	+6.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.53

Odds

1.90

Implied

52.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.59

Odds

1.71

Implied

58.5%

Edge

+6.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Nottinghamshire

Best: 58.5% on kalshi

▲+6.0%

Prediction market is 6.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

52.5%

58.5%

Warwickshire

Best: 47.5% on polymarket

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

47.5%

44.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Nottinghamshire

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.525

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.667 avg

+9.69% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.608

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.962

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.789 avg

+0.88% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.782

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+3.63%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Nottinghamshire (polymarket, $544) — slippage 14.5% > 10% cap — fillable up to $20

Warwickshire (kalshi, $456) — slippage 32.4% > 10% cap — fillable up to $1

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Nottinghamshirethin	polymarket	1.91	$544	$1036
Warwickshirethin	kalshi	2.27	$456	$1036

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Nottinghamshire

Spread

6.0pp

kalshi at 58.5% vs polymarket at 52.5%

Expected Value

+11.43%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.90) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

12.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $5
24h Volume: $5
Liquidity: $158
Open Interest: $5

Resolves: in 7d 15h

Source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $1.6K
24h Volume: $1.5K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $1.3K

Resolves: in 2d 23h

Settlement Timeline

kalshiin 2d 23h · Jul 25, 2026, 6:00 PM
polymarketin 7d 15h · Jul 30, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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