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ITF Brasilia: Marjorie Souza vs Luiza Fullana

Other · June 7, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000000000000

Platform Prices — Marjorie Souza

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	5.00	20.0%	$0.20	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	4.55	22.0%	$0.22	+2.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.20

Odds

5.00

Implied

20.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.22

Odds

4.55

Implied

22.0%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Marjorie Souza

Best: 22.0% on polymarket

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

22.0%

20.0%

Luiza Fullana

Best: 79.0% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

78.0%

79.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Marjorie Souza

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.200

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.708 avg

+30.94% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.541

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.875

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.835 avg

+0.98% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.827

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Marjorie Souza (kalshi, $204) — slippage 49.7% > 10% cap

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Marjorie Souzathin	kalshi	5.00	$204	$1021
Luiza Fullanathin	polymarket	1.28	$796	$1020

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Marjorie Souza

Spread

2.0pp

polymarket at 22.0% vs kalshi at 20.0%

Expected Value

+10.00%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (5.00) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.5%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $209
24h Volume: $209
Liquidity: $1.8K
Open Interest: $245

Resolves: in 7d 0h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $18
24h Volume: $18
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $18

Resolves: in 14d 0h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 0h · Jun 14, 2026, 1:30 PM
kalshiin 14d 0h · Jun 21, 2026, 1:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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