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Lexington: Henry Searle vs Lloyd Harris

Other · August 3, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Henry Searle

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.30	43.5%	$0.44	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	2.22	45.0%	$0.45	+1.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.44

Odds

2.30

Implied

43.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.45

Odds

2.22

Implied

45.0%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Henry Searle

Best: 45.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

43.5%

45.0%

Lloyd Harris

Best: 58.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

56.5%

58.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Henry Searle

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.435

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.467 avg

+2.10% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.457

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.476

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.474 avg

+0.11% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.473

polymarket

Cross-Platform Edge — Henry Searle

Spread

1.5pp

kalshi at 45.0% vs polymarket at 43.5%

Expected Value

+3.45%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.30) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $4.0K
24h Volume: $3.6K
Liquidity: $97.8K
Open Interest: $3.3K

Resolves: in 6d 23h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $676
24h Volume: $676
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $676

Resolves: in 14d 8h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 23h · Aug 10, 2026, 2:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 8h · Aug 17, 2026, 10:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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