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Stale· updated 3m ago

Metro Bank One Day Cup: Yorkshire vs Nottinghamshire

Metro Bank One Day Cup · August 14, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Yorkshire

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.89	53.0%	$0.53	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.85	54.0%	$0.54	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.53

Odds

1.89

Implied

53.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.54

Odds

1.85

Implied

54.0%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Yorkshire

Best: 54.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

54.0%

53.0%

Nottinghamshire

Best: 46.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

46.0%

45.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Yorkshire

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.530

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.750 avg

+10.73% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.678

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.823

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.768 avg

+1.46% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.757

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $480

Yorkshire (kalshi, $538) — slippage 4.1% — eats into edge

Nottinghamshire (kalshi, $462) — slippage 16.6% > 10% cap — fillable up to $222

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Yorkshirethin	kalshi	1.89	$538	$1015
Nottinghamshirethin	kalshi	2.20	$462	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Yorkshire

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 54.0% vs kalshi at 53.0%

Expected Value

+1.89%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.89) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $364
24h Volume: $364
Liquidity: $2.6K
Open Interest: $364

Resolves: in 8d 14h

Source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $19
24h Volume: $19
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $17

Resolves: in 3d 22h

Settlement Timeline

kalshiin 3d 22h · Aug 16, 2026, 6:00 PM
polymarketin 8d 14h · Aug 21, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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