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Live· updated 2m ago

T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier C: Isle of Man vs Luxembourg

International Cricket · August 14, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Isle of Man

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.02	49.5%	$0.50	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.54	65.0%	$0.65	+15.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.50

Odds

2.02

Implied

49.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.65

Odds

1.54

Implied

65.0%

Edge

+15.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Isle of Man

Best: 65.0% on kalshi

▲+15.5%

Prediction market is 15.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

49.5%

65.0%

Luxembourg

Best: 50.5% on polymarket

▲+16.5%

Prediction market is 16.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

50.5%

34.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Isle of Man

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.495

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.757 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.757

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.861 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.861

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+19.76%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Isle of Man (polymarket, $593) — not enough depth at $593 — fillable up to $9

Luxembourg (kalshi, $407) — slippage 87.9% > 10% cap — fillable up to $3

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Isle of Manthin	polymarket	2.02	$593	$1197
Luxembourgthin	kalshi	2.94	$407	$1198

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Isle of Man

Spread

15.5pp

kalshi at 65.0% vs polymarket at 49.5%

Expected Value

+31.31%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.02) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

25.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $283
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 8d 5h

Source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $2
24h Volume: $2
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $2

Resolves: in 3d 13h

Settlement Timeline

kalshiin 3d 13h · Aug 16, 2026, 5:00 PM
polymarketin 8d 5h · Aug 21, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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