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Stale· updated 3m ago

T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier C: Spain vs Finland

International Cricket · August 14, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000000000000

Platform Prices — Spain

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.43	70.0%	$0.70	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.30	77.0%	$0.77	+7.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.70

Odds

1.43

Implied

70.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.77

Odds

1.30

Implied

77.0%

Edge

+7.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Spain

Best: 77.0% on kalshi

▲+7.0%

Prediction market is 7.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

70.0%

77.0%

Finland

Best: 30.0% on polymarket

▲+5.0%

Prediction market is 5.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

30.0%

25.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Spain

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.700

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.817 avg

+2.26% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.799

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.821

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.863 avg

+7.92% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.799

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+5.26%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Finland (kalshi, $263) — slippage 96.7% > 10% cap — fillable up to $4

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Spainthin	polymarket	1.43	$737	$1053
Finlandthin	kalshi	4.00	$263	$1053

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Spain

Spread

7.0pp

kalshi at 77.0% vs polymarket at 70.0%

Expected Value

+10.00%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.43) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

23.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $2.2K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 23h

Source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $186
24h Volume: $186
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $168

Resolves: in 3d 7h

Settlement Timeline

kalshiin 3d 7h · Aug 16, 2026, 12:00 PM
polymarketin 7d 23h · Aug 21, 2026, 4:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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